Market Outlook · Week 46 · 9–13 Nov 2026

Hawkish yields rise, AI fragility in first cracks, China decoupling builds

Four narratives and directions are named: hawkish yields increasing, AI fragility conditional, geopolitical energy risk stable and China decoupling increasing.

10 min read · Professional

Hawkish Fed repricing remains the dominant ceiling, while AI governance risk faces a binary test, geopolitical energy risk remains range-bound, and China decoupling builds momentum.

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